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FutureofUSChinaTrade.com is an online community dedicated to fostering a dialogue on the U.S./China relationship and – ultimately – to informing the policy debate in Washington D.C. and Beijing. The site is a joint venture of
Arizona State University and
The Kearny Alliance.
As a center for data, analysis, and insightful discussion, FutureofUSChinaTrade.com offers visitors a number of ways to engage:
Issues in Depth
This section examines significant current events, policies, and trade topics relevant to the current market. These issues are examined in-depth and make use of publications, events and graphical data to provide a robust discussion.
Why the future of US/China trade matters
“Over the long run most of the really big problems that the world faces are going to require Chinese participation. And that’s without even saying that most of the big problems are basically going to be resolved by the U.S. and China.”
– Expert Commentator Michael Pettis, Peking University Finance Professor
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“Looking to the next 30 years, the fate of two of the world’s largest economies is not pre-determined. Global economic integration will march on. But where the world’s economies will be in 30 years depends in large part on decisions that policymakers make today.”
– Who the Heck Cares About Currency? white paper
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“The question is not whether China will continue to grow while the U.S. ceases growing, but rather: Are we going to keep growing together or cease growing together?”
– Moderator Art Blakemore, W. P. Carey Economics Chair and University Vice Provost
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“Tell me and I forget. Show me and I remember. Involve me and I understand.”
– Chinese proverb
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News & Analysis
Gain valuable insight from Asian trade industry leaders through a rich mixture of audio and video commentary. Topics cover important trade event s, forums as well as recent news and analytical developments in international trade.
 Is China's Rise Sustainable?
Since 1980 China's economy has grown at an average rate of 9.8 percent a year – that's compared to 2-3 percent for developed economies like the U.S. Over the last decade, Chinese GDP has seen about a 14 percent annual compound growth rate. Most economists believe that even if China grows at just 8 percent a year, its economy will surpass the U.S. by 2020. . .
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 Has China Really Stolen American Jobs?
In January U.S. President Barack Obama delivered his 2011 State of the Union address. The theme: jobs, jobs, jobs. The address came just a week after what seemed to have been a very productive visit from China’s President Hu Jintao, yet some U.S. policymakers (and even some business leaders) were still repeating the call to “take back” American jobs from China. With all of the political rhetoric swirling around, where does the truth lie? Have American jobs really been lost to China? Does America need to “regain its competitiveness”? . . .
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 Trade is Good for China. Trade is Good for the United States.
Amid all of the recent noise about China’s currency, America’s trade deficit, and the state of world trade, policymakers and pundits alike seem to have forgotten a very important tenet that has served, for the last half century, as the foundation of global economic development: trade is good. . . Read more
Spotlight: Inflation in China
On one hand, President Hu says that curbing inflation is high on his economic agenda for 2011. On the other hand, World Bank economist Louis Kuijs says that “there is no need to worry too much about inflation.”What do you think? Is inflation something China should be worried about? If it is, what are the tools China can use to combat inflation? . .
Read more
Read more US/China trade analysis and news
Facts & Figures
Here you will find a diverse bank of US-China trade related graphs and dependable analysis. Issues are discussed at length and examine the relevance of contemporary trade concerns to your business.
U.S. and China Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 1980-2030
(Click to enlarge the figure.)
US Manufacturing and China Manufacturing as a Percentage of Total World Manufacturing, 1970-2009
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Real GDP Per Capita in the U.S. and China, 1980-2030
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Real GDP, U.S. and China, 1980-2030
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See more US/China trade data charts and graphs
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